The 2026 Open Championship is here, and Stephie Smalls is joined by sports gambling expert and show favorite Sam Wagman to break down their best bets for the final major of the year.

Stephie and Sam examine Royal Birkdale’s firm and fast conditions, dangerous closing stretch and the skills golfers will need to survive four rounds of links golf. Then they reveal their favorite finishing-position bets, head-to-head matchups, LIV golfer props, long shots and outright picks.

Stephie makes the case for Collin Morikawa to finish inside the Top 30, Morikawa over Shane Lowry in Round 1 and Robert MacIntyre to finish Top 20. Sam targets Joaquin Niemann as the top LIV golfer before unveiling a complete Sam Burns betting ladder—from Top 30 all the way to a 60/1 outright ticket.

Plus, they discuss Burns’ recent form, the Open Championship trend that nearly puts him among the tournament’s strongest contenders and why Scottie Scheffler may be preparing to ruin everyone’s fun once again.

Follow Sam Wagman on X at @Swagman95 and find his fantasy football work at Footballguys.

Have a question for Stephie? Submit it for Ask Smalls Anything at SpeakPipe.com/StephieSmalls.

00:00 Royal Birkdale Preview

01:08 Course Changes

02:41 Firm and Fast Conditions

03:25 Best Bets Begin

03:48 Morikawa Top 30

04:24 Morikawa vs. Lowry

05:25 Top LIV Golfer

07:39 Joaquin Niemann’s Fit

09:06 MacIntyre Top 20

10:21 Sam Burns Betting Ladder

12:21 Why Burns Fits

15:23 Scottie Scheffler Warning

16:03 Find Sam Wagman

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